The Avoid-L Letters...

This is a big file showing some of the most important messages from me in the avoid-L web list (Victor Senger's forum).

This page has been updated in some aspects - urls mostly - in January 2013. My present email is:
juliocbsiqueira2012@gmail.com


Contents:

01- Usage guidelines for AVOID-L
02- The Demon Comes... To discuss some "weaknesses" in "God, The Failed Hypothesis."
03- Did Stenger Cite Wrongly the US Declaration of Independence?
04- Vic's Mistake # 2 in GTFH... - Larson & Whitham, Nature 1998.
05- GTFH's Mistake # 3: Vic weaker at philosophy of the mind than the Pope...
06- The Remaining of the minor mistakes in GTFH
07- Curiosities and Strange Things in GTFH..
08- Wiping Out the Very Core of Vic's GTFH
09- GTFH: The Signs of God
10- On Ghosts and Afterlife Survival...
11- GTFH: For Whom the Bells Toll, or the crimes of atheists.
12- Dawkins Up Uranus...
13- Quantum Mechanics AND Consciousness - time for mature attitude, from all sides
14- Unpoliteness: Avoid-Lers', Dawkins', Siqueira's, ... ... ...
15- The Avoid-L forum and the Paranormal: a brief summary
16- Carl Sagan disagrees with Vic on the Supernatural...
17- Now it is Brent Meeker vs Victor Stenger...
18- The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins et al, and similar "racists"
19- Atheism for Dummies
20- Where is the Stench from the Avoid-L forum
21- Re: The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins et al, and similar "racists"
22- Re: The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins et al, and similar "racists"
23- Lawrence Crowell's Racism; and et al's...
24- Leaving Avoid L, first attempt...  
25- Coming Back to Dispell the Libels about me in Avoid-L
26- Leaving Avoid-L, for good this time.



Message 1: this is the welcoming automatic message from Victor Stenger. I included below only some key points of it, with additional highlinghts made by me.


Usage guidelines for AVOID-L

Thursday, March 15, 2007 7:20 PM

 

AVOID-L is a discussion list I have set up for comments and suggestions
on my various articles, essays, and books.

"Avoid" refers to "Atoms and the Void," the ontological model of
reality in which only matter exists and, furthermore, is localized and
discrete
.

Read over your message before sending. Remember that all
messages to the list are public
.



Message 2: this is my first message. 

The Demon Comes... To discuss some "weaknesses" in "God, The Failed Hypothesis."

Saturday, March 17, 2007 6:54 PM

 

-
Hi Everybody,

I am Julio Siqueira, and I have written some reviews
and analyses of Professor Stenger's two books "Has
Science Found God?" (2003) and "God, the Failed
Hypothesis" (GTFH - 2007). (I haven't read his other
books).

More specifically about this newest book "GTFH", I
have now both a review on www.amazon.com, with a copy
at the link below,
http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/amazon_reviews.htm#stenger_went_bananas
and a full review on my site, at the link below:
http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/victor_stenger_went_bananas.htm

Note added on Jan 7, 2013: the above urls have received the links below:
http://www.criticandokardec.com.br/amazon_reviews.htm#stenger_went_bananas
http://www.criticandokardec.com.br/victor_stenger_went_bananas.htm

Now, why am I here then?

My intention on the AVOID-L forum is to present some
of the items that I consider "weaknesses" in Vic
Stenger's newest book, especially in light of the aim
itself of this book. Probably I will be here for some
weeks or so. I was here also for a few days in 2005,
when I presented some issues that I considered
"problematic" in Vic's 2003 book (Has Science Found
God?).

I am still a believer both in GOD and in the
Afterlife... (also in ESP/PK/Precog...). And since I
believe that one of the most important aims of GTFH is
to weaken the bad aspects of religion, I think it is
highly important that feedbacks from "believers" (like
me...) be known and discussed.

If anyone happens to want some further info about me,
I think the best place to start might be my
"antipseudoskepticism" site, at the link below:
http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/criticizingskepticism.htm

Note added on Jan 7, 2013
the link above is now in the url below:
http://www.criticandokardec.com.br/criticizingskepticism.htm


So, basically my expositions will consist of: 1-
Showing a specific item from GTFH that is either wrong
or counterproductive, etc. 2- Discussing some possible
reactions (i.e. feelings, thoughts, etc) of the
believers to this "wrong item". 3- Reflecting upon the
possible consequences of this "flawed item" in a
broader sense, and how it could have been otherwise.

Despite being a critic, I am not a foe. I am highly
critic even towards "those that I support", as you may
realize from my reviews of the books "Immortal
Remains" (2003) and "Entangled Minds" (2006).

Therefore, I can only finish this first message of
mine
saying that my aims here will be solely
constructive (even though not necessarily
"enjoyable"...).

So, for now, My Best Regards to You All and to
Professor Victor Stenger!

Julio Siqueira
_______________________


Below, my first comment kind of "correcting" previous ones from me. 

Re: The Demon Comes... To discuss some "weaknesses" in "God, The Failed Hypothesis."

 

Monday, March 19, 2007 9:13 PM

 

Hi Everybody, especially Bill Benson and Bill
Jefferys,

Coincidentely (or... through telepathy :-) ), Bill
(Benson; followed by Jefferys) started exactly where I
planned to start.

So, first, to clarify my point: I fully understand
that there were highly non-religious ideological
aspects during the US independence process and during
the formation of the US (i.e. until after the
Constitution was done). This is indeed a remarkable,
and most admirable, aspect of the US history. European
Enlightenment marvelled at what happened in America,
as a dream come true.

So, to say that there were elements (even strong
elements) from The Enlightenment (deism included) in
the US independence and Constitution is one thing. But
to downplay the presence of elements from the "older"
traditions (traditional faiths; theism included - and
I am not saying that these were good traditions) is
something completely different. That is my point.

So, I think it is very counterproductive to deny the
obvious: that at the time of the US independence, and
also at the time that the Constitution got done, US
society was very much religious (theistic); and that
this, too, played a part in the origin of the United
States.

Now, I will comment on some points by Benson:

Benson said: "First, nothing you quoted from the
Declaration of Independence is contrary to what
deist's believe."

You'd better take a second look, Bill! I'll use your
own quotation from the Wikipedia, this time including
the previous phrase that is there:

"But the theist taught that god remained actively
interested in and operative in the world which he had
made, whereas the deist maintained that God endowed
the world at creation with self-sustaining and
self-acting powers and then abandoned it to the
operation of these powers acting as second causes."

This full extract above is good the way it is, because
of the contrast that it offers between theism and
deism. So, in light of the above paragraph, can you,
Bill, really claim that a deistic God is one to whom
you can "appeal to the Supreme Judge of the world for
the rectitude of our intentions" ? (This looks almost
like a prayer). And also, this deistic God is a God
that "creates all men equal?" ("all men are created
equal" - this implies constant creation By God; an
active and operative God - the alternative, fully
compatible with deism, would be: all men are *born*
equal).

So, I think theism was, naturally, present too at
those times. The documents were made out of a
consensus, instead of deist documents (i.e. ideas)
being forced upon (or smuggled onto) theists.

Also, Bill said: "But Perhaps the most important point
that you overlooked is the fact that the Declaration
of Independence
has no legal status in a
Constitutional United States."

Why do you think I overlooked it? It was Vic who cited
this. I just presented my counterview. So, obviously,
you are right in what is said above. And, yes, the US
is and was, from the very beginning, a "secular"
State. At least as far as "the letter of the law" is
concerned...

As to the Preamble of the Constitution and the
"Blessings" issue, it may be that I got too impressed
by the shape of the capital letter in "Blessings" (I
am including an attached extract from a photo of the
Preamble of the Constitution). Yes, I agree and
understand that this document presents solid steps
towards a secular State. Again, what I warn is that we
cannot deny the amount of theism that existed in those
years. That is why I included those lines from the
Constitution of Pennsylvania. Again, take a look at
the broader picture to get a feeling of what I mean:

"I do believe in one God, the creator and governor of
the universe, the rewarder of the good and the
punisher of the wicked. And I do acknowledge the
Scriptures of the Old and New Testament to be given by
Divine inspiration."

This is from the Constitution of Pennsylvania. In
1776. Does that still look deist to your eyes?

By the way, for anyone who wants to believe that deism
was *the* driving force during those years of the US
history, please, do not read the text at the link
below! ;-)

http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/states/pa08.htm


Best Regards to All,
Julio Siqueira
______________


Below, my second comment kind of "correcting" previous ones from me.

Re: The Demon Comes... To discuss some "weaknesses" in "God, The Failed Hypothesis.

 

Tuesday, March 20, 2007 7:51 AM

 

Hi Bill,

I took now a full look at the US Constitution/Bill of
Rights and a full look at the Wikipedia entry on
deism. My impression now is that I will have to revise
my view on these topics. It seems that Vic Stenger is
not the only one who commits mistakes now and then...
:-) (that is: it seems that I am also fallible. Can it
really be?). Anyway, I will be reading Avoid-L
messages today, and probably only tomorrow will I
reply.

Julio Siqueira
________________


--- Bill Benson <Bill@MBBENSON.NET> wrote



Message 3: this below is actually my second message criticizing the book God the Failed Hypothesis.

Did Stenger Cite Wrongly the US Declaration of Independence?

Sunday, March 25, 2007 4:53 PM

 

Former Title of this Thread: The Demon Comes, to Haunt Avoid L. (or something similar to it…).

 

Hi Everybody,

 

I will use this new thread-title to present my conclusions, based on the feedbacks provided mostly by Bill Benson and Bill Jeffreys.

 

Yes, I still think that there was a problem (a big one)  in the way Vic cited the US Declaration of Independence on page 247 of GTFH (even after my taking into account Bill Benson’s reasonings and info).

 

In fact I really had a wong view of what deism was (or is). If the description on Wikipedia is correct, deism is much more supportive of an idea of a God that cares for his youngs than I had imagined. So I thank Bill for showing me this.

 

However, this actually makes things worse for Vic. He says on page 247: “Although American Christians have been led to believe that the ‘Creator’ mentioned here is their God, Thomas Jefferson, who wrote these words, was not a Christian but a deist.”

 

I had to read this passage again (and some paragraphs before and after it too) in light of what Bill indicated on theWikipedia. The two problems remain. First, the God cited here is indeed (i.e. can be) the Christian God. The attributes of the Christian God and of the deist God overlap enough to make it legitimate for Christians to claim that this is indeed their God. At least as long as what they say is: “This is our God too!” It is true that they cannot say that “This is not the God of deism.” It is the God of them both (Chistians, deists, and most likely of some other religions too). That is exactly what is expected from a document that must represent a consensus of several different religious and phylosophical views. The second problem is the idea that Vic has that it was “Thomas Jefferson” that “wrote these words.” That is simply not how things happen in politics. Not now, and not then. It is (IMO) naïve of Vic to put things this way.

 

A second point closely related to it is my comment regarding the US Constitution. Could it be that the “Blessings of Liberty” is a religious concept being kind of “smuggled” into the letter of the law? I said before that “The word ‘blessings’ may be used figuratively, but hardly so if on a document co-signed by highly religious States.” The capital letter (in “Blessings”) seems really (as Bill Jeffreys informatively and convincingly explained) unimportant here. And the most strinking element in the US Constitution (IMHO) is indeed its absence of reference to religious concepts. Again I re-read the paragraph where Vic’s comment appears (page 200), to re-assess it in light of the feedbacks I got here. I now think that, in this issue, Vic was correct. That is, he presented things in an acceptable way, especially in the context (paragraph) where his phrase appears.

 

Best Regards,

Julio

_____________

 


Message 4:

Vic's Mistake # 2 in GTFH... - Larson & Whitham, Nature 1998.
 

Monday, March 26, 2007 7:55 AM

 

That is a tough one...

 

 

Hi Everybody. Hi Vic,

 

Continuing with my presentation and discussion of the minor flaws in Vic's GTFH (the bigger flaws will be left for later), I now turn to his wrong citation of the highly flawed article by Larson & Witham, Nature 1998 (correspondence section...). So, please, note that issue is actually this: the article is highly flawed + Vic cited this highly flawed article wrongly.

 

Vic's wrong citation: "Indeed, as we saw in the preface, the overwhelming majority of prominent American scientists has concluded that God does not exist." (GTFH, pages 21-22).

 

Larson & Witham's actual findings: about 12% of prominent American scientists do not believe in a God in intellectual and affective communication with humanity.

 

Now, how can a Tarzan of the Pacific Islands make a leap from this meager 12% to this "Overwhelming Majority" talk?

 

[by the way: in the one single table that this "article" has, we find six columns; and of these six columns, three of them sum up more than 100%...]

 

Best Regards,

Julio

P.S.: I strongly advise everybody here not to ever cite this article by Larson & Witham (at least not before checking with the authors for the mistakes in it). Dawkins himself has cited it before (shame on him). In 2002, I made a highly meticulous analysis of this article for the president of a Brazilian skeptic organization (STR). It is indeed a masterpiece of writing (Machiavelli would have envied it bitterly!). The flaws just cannot be accidental... Nevertheless, the central thesis in it is probably right (so I guess).

_________________

 


 Message 5:

GTFH's Mistake # 3: Vic weaker at philosophy of the mind than the Pope...

 

Saturday, March 31, 2007 7:13 AM

 

Hi Everybody, Hi Vic again...,

 

Bill Jeffereys raised the interesting issue of misuse of crucial terms by famous “scientists”. He cited Radin’s wrong usage of the term “odds.” (still in need of my checking it out). Now I will show Vic’s misuse of the term “epiphenomenalism” in GTFH.

 

Vic says (page 84 of GTFH), commenting on the Pope, that "a wealth of empirical data now strongly suggests that mind is in fact a 'mere epiphenomenon of this matter'." And I replied in my Amazon review that either Stenger did not understand what the Pope said or he (i.e. Vic Stenger) does not know what an epiphenomenon is. What the Pope said was (page 84): "Theories of evolution which, in accord with the philosophies inspiring them, consider the spirit as emerging from the forces of living matter, or as a mere epiphenomenon of this matter, are imcompatible with the truth about man." Note that the Pope is using two terms: "emerging" and "epiphenomenon". These two terms indeed summarize what materialist neuroscientists and philosophers think about the relationship between "mind" and matter (or "mind" and body). The other options in this area are not really materialist, so to speak. They are: 1- Mind (or better: consciousness) as a fundamental property of the universe. 2- Mind (consciousness) as a separate reality (Dualism of Substance), but in interaction with the physical world. Vic only used the term epiphenomenon., which is very problematic because if the mind is an epiphenomenon then it plays no role whatsoever in the physical-biological world (that is the very definition of an epiphenomenon).

 

So, surprisingly enough, the Pope's words were more philosophically and scientifically robust (and stringent) than Stenger's...

 

Ironically, the very beginning of Brent Meeker’s five stars book review of Vic’s GTFH starts as follows: “Vic Stenger is a professor of philosophy now,”... I just wonder what he is teaching in philosophy (Are you teaching philosophy of the mind, Vic? And what about this mistake that I point out? Was it like Radin’s mistake in “The Conscious Universe”, that is, accidentally using “odds of 1 in a trillion billion” instead of “odds of 1 in a zillion zillion”? Or did you really think that emergence and epiphenomenalism were the same things?).

 

Best,

Julio

_____________


Message 6:

The Remaining of the minor mistakes in GTFH

 

Tuesday, April 3, 2007 12:16 PM

 

So far, all that I have presented have been the *minor* mistakes in GTFH. My plan is to follow this list:

 

1- Present the minor mistakes. (almost done).

2- Present some curious peculiarities in GTFH that might have passed unnoticed by many (in it, we will see how Vic is - surprisingly enough - an emergentist, instead of being a reductionist. Also, he is much more into New Age romanticism than most people have realized!).

3- Present the fatal flaws in the core reasonings of GTFH.

4- Present suggestions for future works (or... how to treat us poor believers :-) ).

 

For now, I will finish presenting the minor flaws (we've seen three already).

 

Flaw (or mistake) # 4: Vic presents a very naive description of the scientific enterprise. He says on page 28: "However, any type of dogmatism is the very antithesis of science. The history of science, from Copernicus and Galileo to the present, is replete with examples that belie the carge of dogmatism in science. What history shows is that science is very demanding and does not blindly accept any new idea that someone can come up with. New claims must be thoroughly supported by the data, especially when they may conflict with well-established knowledge." And a little further on, he says (pages 28-29): "Besides, why would any scientist object to the notion of intelligent design or other supernatural phenomena, should the data warrant that they deserve attention? Most scientists would be delighted at the opening up of an exciting new field of study that would undoubtedly receive generous funding." Victor presents a worldview in which science is a bold and candid (even though stringent) quest for truth. I greatly doubt that he really believes that... After all, being a CSICOP fellow (now renamed to mere CSI...), he knows very well how much science is tightly connected to political interests (i.e. power at all levels, and of all shades), to social interests, and to the day-to-day interests of those who work for it. Of course science is not as dogmatic as the average religion (even though I have no trustworthy yardstick to define "average religion"). Also, the kind of dogmatism that we see in science is different from the dogmatism that we see in religion (most of the times, IMHO). Scientific dogmatism, to me, looks more like an attenuated form of bureaucratic dogmatism (or bureaucratic conservatism). Whenever a "new truth" becomes more fashionable in science, the allocation of funds shift ($$$), severely affecting the lives and careers (and the prestige...) of many (of most?) of those who work for the opposing scientific view. If "Intelligent Design" blooms, "Blind Evolution" withers. (By they way, I do not agree with Behe's Intelligent Design).

 

 

Flaw (or mistake) # 5: Vic claims that modern science, especially neuroscience, shows that there is no need for a "ghost in the machine." Actually this is an interesting and respectable viewpoint. However, it is important, IMO, to present the competing viewpoints (the respectable ones). For example, Roger Penrose (and Stuart Hameroff) kind of believe in some sort of dualism of substance or "dualism-of-don't-know-what" (Penrose's notion of a platonic higher universe or so), or perhaps a panpsychism (proto), as once Hameroff put it. Late Erwin Schroedinger was (or ended up becoming) a panpsychist Brahamanist (just like me), and philosopher David Chalmers goes along similar lines. Benjamin Libet has proposed a "dualism-of-don't-know-what" in which the mind (or consciousness...) would emerge from the brain but would not be material (yes, he did say that, in 1991, in the Journal of Consciousness Studies). Mathematician and computer scientist Stan Franklin declared that he was beginning to agree with Chalmers in that consciousness was a fundamental property of the universe (Journal of Consciousness Studies, 2003 - Machine Consciousness). Francis Crick, in the concluding chapter of his "The Astonishing Hypothesis" (1995) presents some of these views in an informative and critical way. Also so does Susan Blackmore, interviewing even Stuart Hameroff (I believe) in one of her recent books on this subject. So, why won't you do the same, Vic?

 

 

Flaw (or mistake) # 6: Vic claims that parapsychology has an unbroken history of negative results. It is ok that you think so, Victor. And it is ok that you view the data this way (just as it is ok that Bill Jefferys thinks so too and views the data this way too). But a presentation of this topic in such a "simple" manner gives the impression that important and respectable controversy is being sidetracked.

 

 

My initial plan was to be in the Avoid-L for some weeks. Now I realize that I will have to stay here at least until next Christmas. Perhaps I will find here reason to believe that esp has not been proved, and that Dean Radin is indeed sloppy and God-Knows-What-Else...

 

Let's See,

 

Julio

___________

 



Message 7:

Curiosities and Strange Things in GTFH...

 

Friday, April 6, 2007 9:58 AM

 

Hi Everybody, Hi Vic,

 

Before exposing the fatal flaws at the very core of GTFH (and while I wait for Michael Corner's essay, so that I can break it down to pieces!), I'd like to present some interesting stuff that is not necessarily "wrong things" or "flawed items." I will be very straight forward and concise. Also, I will append to each item my rating of it:

 

 

1- Vic, the Emergentist... [rating: puzzlement at the phenomenon described by Vic and at his interpretation of it]: on page 63 of GTFH, Vic says: "Several computer simulations have reproduced this result. However, I decided to try one myself"... ..."The result is shown in figure 2.2 We see that the double spiral pattern is reproduced. Please note that this pattern was not built into the algorithm used,"...

 

My Comment: if the pattern wasn't built into the algorithm, where the hell did it come from? (the word "hell" fits nicely in this phrase... the phenomenon looks like a quite diabolical one). My guess is that the pattern is indeed in the algorithm (and the same for all "emergent behaviours" found in computer algorithms, ubiquitous in the relevant literature). The reason for my pointing this out is that algorithms are the most determinist entities that there can be. I derive this from Roger Penrose's "The Emperor's New Mind" (1989). And also from Stan Franklin's "Artificial Minds" (1995).

 

 

2- Vic, the "Blind" (like all of us...) [rating: a questioning and a word of cautious]: on page 121 of GTFH, we read that "The universe preserves no record of what went on before the big bang. The Creator, if he existed, left no imprint."

 

My Comment: Did "Little Boy" leave any imprint on Hiroshima? (please, no historical criticism implied). I ask this question because both events were "atomic" (i.e. random in their basic nature). Maybe I am wrong. If I happen not to be fully wrong, maybe it is not that there is no imprint, but that we cannot as yet decipher it.

 

 

3- Vic's Incoherence? [rating: just a doubt]: we read on page 145 that "Many of the examples of fine-tuning found in theological literature suffer from simple misunderstandings of physics." (...) "Only 'dimensionless' numbers that do not depend on units, such as the ratio of strengths of gravity and electromagnetism, are meaningful." However..., on page 119, we see a graph that shows that the ratio of actual entropy of the universe/maximum entropy the universe can have is decreasing... It used to be 1/1. Now, it seems to be less than 1/10...

 

My Comment: Mama always told me that entropy can only increase. Is entropy actually decreasing (according to what is really "meaningful")?

 

 

4- Vic's Incoherence # 2? [rating: double-standards exposed...]: Vic says, brilliantly, on page 138 that "In his 1995 book, The Creator and The Cosmos, physicist Hugh Ross"... ..."estimated that such a combination be found in the universe as 'much less than one in a million trillion.1" (Radin's pupil? ;-) ). "He concluded that only divine design could account for human life. However, Ross presented no estimate for the probability of divine design." (...) "When using probabilities to decide between two or more possibilities, you must have a number of each possibility in order to compare." Again I must say: Brilliant! But... we read on page 250 that ..."would reasonably be expected to lead to a better world when God is widely worshiped. Well, God is widely worshiped and we do not have a better world because of it. On the contrary, the world seems worse off as the result of faith."

 

My Comment: where has the "number of each possibility" gone now?

 

 

5- Victor Stenger Welcomes Us to the New Age Bandwagon... [rating: perplexity plus doubt]: we read, on page 116, that "Remarkably, the total energy in the universe appears to be zero." On page 120, we read that ..."the entropy of the universe was maximal when the universe began,"... . And on page 121, we see that ..."the universe began with no structure." Futher, we hear too, on page 163, that "Physicist Max Tegmark has argued that the universe contains almost no information, that is, it has on the whole no structure.47" (...) "According to quantum mechanics, the universe is perfectly random, a superposition of all possible realities."

 

My Comment: any believer would fall into an unrecoverable state of deep epiphany when reading these pieces above... :-) . Much of the above is supposed to be settled by the "hocus pocus" spontaneous symmetry breaking talk. Obviously, "spontaneous" means "It may be that someone did it, but we just do not know who as yet..."

 

 

Best Regards and Happy Easter!

Julio Siqueira

__________________

 



Message 8:

Wiping Out the Very Core of Vic's GTFH

 

Wednesday, April 11, 2007 3:24 PM

 

Hi Everybody, Hi Vic,

 

Time for "Coup de Grace"... :-)

 

(My vodoo-inflicted flu will prevent my using of FX this time...)

 

What is the core of Vic's argument? Stenger started with a simple and robust strategy. It is as follows:

 

1- Define very well what God is.

 

2- Show how this God conflicts with our established knowledge about the Universe, or how this God is a "self defeating concept."

 

Simple. Robust. Elegant.

 

But... Victor strayed far and away from what he had set out to do... Vic actually used the two strategies below:

 

*A*- Vic resorted to the weirdest logic that anyone could possibly have come up with. It is surprising, and disappointing, that no one here has brought it up. I think that this is what true friends (or colleagues/fellows) are for: to show weaknesses in the work of a fellow too. Victor defined God as something that is simply impossible to exist (or to be detected); however, *impossible to exist* not due to any inner flaw of the concept of God itself, but rather, due to Vic's incoherent reasoning. Surprisingly enough, the basis for this reasoning of his is supposed to be physics!

 

Look at what he said on page 14 of GTFH: "God can only show up by proving to be necessary, with science equally proven to be incapable of providing a plausible account of the phenomenon based on natural or material processes alone. This may strike the reader as an impossible requirement. How can we ever know that science will never be able to provide a 'natural' account for some currently mysterious phenomenon? I claim this is within the realm of possibility, if not with 100 percent certainty, within a reasonable doubt. Using the historical association of natural with material, I will provide hypothetical examples of phenomena that, if observed, cannot be of material origin beyond a reasonable doubt. Since by all accounts God is nonmaterial, his presence would be signaled, beyond a reasonable doubt, by the empirical verification of such phenomena." (...) "I have stated how I will use the words natural and supernatural, as synonymous with material and nonmaterial."

 

Then he continues...

 

"I define matter as anything that kicks back when you kick it. It is the stuff of physics. By 'kick' I refer to the universal observation process in which particles, such as the photons that compose light, are bounced off objects. Measurements on the particles that bounce back into our eyes and other sensors give us properties of the observed objects called mass, momentum, and energy that we identify with matter. Those measurements are described with models that contain purely material processes - the dynamical principles of physics - all subject to empirical testing and falsification."

 

So, what is the definition of matter, according to Victor? Simple: it is something that CAN be detected. And what is the definition of God, of God's substance, of spirits, and of etc (perhaps even Santa Claus' reindeers...)? Simple too: it is something that CANNOT be detected.

 

So, Vic defines God as something that CANNOT be detected. And then he complains that God is never detected...

 

[Vic even distorted, IMO, Steven Weinberg's views, and declared, on pages 15-16 of GTFH, that "Despite philosophical and historical literature in the past century that described the history of science as a series of revolutions and 'paradigm shifts,' " (Victor is referring to the works of Thomas Kuhn) "the fundamental notion of matter and material processes has not been changed since the time of Newton - only embellished."; *Only Embellished!* Come on... (looks like we were to start having Playboy's Centerfolds for Nobel Prize nominees...) physicists here agree with Stenger on this? I read Weinberg's text on the link below]

 

http://www.astro.uni-bonn.de/~willerd/weinberg.html

 

So, Vic is indeed almost a hundred percent right when he says that "God is nonmaterial by all accounts." But God is "nonmaterial" by non-physics definitions of matter. Definetely, according to average believers and to theologians alike, God will kick you back when He is kicked by you (that is precisely the basis for the prayer-mechanism).

 

*B*- Vic complains that (despite the fact that God cannot kick back, according to him) God has never been seen to kick back. He says ("he" meaning Vic, not God) that if God exists, then he must kick back (though he - again meaning Vic - also claims that God, by sheer definition, cannot kick back). Some signs of kicking back could be the examples below:

 

- Design in Nature.

- Existance of souls, spirits, Santa Claus, etc.

- Existance of telepathy, pk, precognition.

- Answer to prayers, etc.

 

Ok Vic, Ok. But... the only problem is that, IMO, none of these four items above has been demonstrated, beyond a "reasonable doubt" (your words...) to be false. (though prayers and Santa Claus are close to it; seriously: Santa Claus has been proved to be false, and prayers have been shown, IMHO, to most likely not be effective). And what is worse: it seems that they can actually be true...

 

But each one of them (Design, Spirits, and Psi) is a separate issue per se.

 

As I have already said today, I have already started to dig into the psi issue here. First, I will check out on Radin's astronomical p-value in The Conscious Universe (that is more to check his... integrity as a writer for laymen). Second, with (so I hope) the help of Bill Jefferys, we will apply a Hubble's Eye on three (at least) of Radin's scientific papers, to see if they are indeed so flawed as Jefferys says. I have already asked him to specify three such articles and, preferrably, to point out the problems. I am sure we are going to draw important solid conclusions from it. (similar feedbacks will also be used, like the paper Meeker sent regarding Ganzfeld and Bayesian statistics; if we come to the point of summoning Jessica Utts here, the next step will be channeling the Holy Ghost Himself ;-) ).

 

Concerning "design", I have a lot to say. However, I have no conclusion... Yes, I do have the conclusion that Dawkins is a crackpot (and... I might be wrong even in that). But besides that, very few conclusions.

 

As to ghosts, lots have to be said too. It seems that those with some understanding of neurology have been doing a poor job in instructing Stenger on this (Crowel-Corner, or simply CC). With friends like these...

 

So, let's proceed on our way, amid the acid "yellings" and "silences"...

 

Best Wishes,

Julio Siqueira

 

P.S.: Gosh I am beginning to like this forum. Perhaps I will stay here for some years. The 72 virgins can wait...

________________

 



Message 9:

GTFH: The Signs of God

 

Sunday, April 29, 2007 8:04 AM

 

Usually when I talk about God, or god, or gods, what I say is: no evidence of it (or better: of IT :-) ) can be found.

 

But the question is: is this absence of evidence evidence of absence? Believe it or not, I think the answer is, to a great extent: Yes...

 

The fact that we have looked so hard and yet have never found anything (or Anything) makes it more and more legitimate for us to claim that God (or god, or gods) does not exist. Nevertheless, we must look at things with the non-believer's eyes (i.e. without the eyes of those believers that state: I believe that God does not exist). We must transcend this blinding bias that atheism/materialism often burdens us with. (and, by the way, the blinding bias of the ordinary believers - those who state that they believe in God; those like me ! - won't help us either...).

 

At the root of God's issue is one of the most mysterious issue that man has faced in all his history on this planet: causality. Unfortunately, Vic dealt with this issue only very superficially. He stated, only once, that science is not in the business of *explaining* things, but, instead, it is in the business of *describing* things. "To Explain" is a concept that is tightly linked to the word pair "why-because" and to *causality*. Despite this initial word of wisdom from Vic, he went on all the way in his book engaged in the "explaining business", and capitalizing in the "commonplace causality worldview."

 

Physics has some weird notions. Sometimes, these notions encroach, sloppily IMO, on the realm of philosophy. Physicists have, perhaps almost always, equated "determinist events" to "causal events," and "random events" to "acausal events." I think these notions are highly misleading. We have no basis to believe that determinist events are causal (i.e. that they have a cause) or that random events are acausal (that they have no cause).

 

In fact, most of the science enterprise is built upon the tricky notion that causality exists, and that mechanics and logic can be understood on this basis.

 

As a consequence, we think, nowadays, that a Universe that is basically quantum-mechanic cannot have a cause. Vic, wisely, has stated more than once in his book that, actually, what happens is that God left no trace of his actions, if he did act.

 

So, to state that "God *created* the Universe" (or to prove that he did not...) is to follow the rules of the "causality worldview." It is a good worldview; but it is narrow minded. And that is the view that Vic followed in his book, GTFH. And more: the association of "random" to "acausal" is misleading (though, IMO, Vic did not commit this kind of mistake; supposing, of course, that it is indeed a mistake).

 

However, in my opinion, Vic did fail to see the relevance of issues deeply connected to this debate. Especially the notion of "probabilistic causality." He comments on it, and kind of downplays the importance of it, or of one of its proponents, William Lane Craig (see page 124 of GTFH). I looked it up on the web and found that "probabilistic causality" is much more than Craig... Take a look at the link below, from Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy:

http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/causation-probabilistic/

 

The introduction of this entry states:

 

" 'Probabilistic Causation' designates a group of philosophical theories that aim to characterize the relationship between cause and effect using the tools of probability theory. The central idea behind these theories is that causes raise the probabilities of their effects, all else being equal. A great deal of the work that has been done in this area has been concerned with making the ceteris paribus clause" (i.e. the "all else being equal") "more precise. This article traces these developments, as well as recent, related developments in causal modeling. Issues within, and objections to, probabilistic theories of causation will also be discussed."

 

This probabilistic causality talk is closed linked to what people investigated at PEAR lab (micro PK on REG). Therefore it is highly deplorable that the scientific establishment never paid much attention to PEAR-Like research, and much more deplorable that CSICOP et al Guys (prominent Avoid-Lers included...) decided to ridicule it so much. Shame on you all.

 

Obviously I am not claiming that PEAR is right.

 

But, back to the probabilistic causality talk, if we can indeed alter the probability of random events, then we can perform some sort of causality through the blinding foam of randomness. That is very relevant to the God talk. And that might enable God to act from behind randomness. Perhaps even in ways very close to what He really wants.

 

So, an increase in our knowledge about probabilistic causality (if it exists) might enable us to either find God, or to add to our knowledge of His absence... (therefore strengthening atheists materialists stand).

 

Also linked to it all is the notion, that Vic seems to embrace, that actions at a distance (superluminal) are spooky, and that actions at close range are not spooky. To me, all actions and all sorts of causality are spooky, and they utterly defy our understanding.

 

One last "word of caution" that I would like to advance is regarding the "intelligent design" issue. People sometimes claim that the Universe does not seem to have been designed intelligently. I think this is a risky assertion (depending, of couse, how far we take it). A rock in the middle of our way may have been the result of intelligent design (that is, it may have been placed there by someone with a purpose in mind). And complex structures may not be the result of intelligent design. Actually, depending on how we see this issue, even highly complex structures (for example, PhD theses) may not be the result of intelligent design.

 

This talk about intelligent design has been severly mauled by religious biases from both sides: on the one hand, the foxy believers like Behe, Dembisky, and the Wedge Movement associates; and on the other hand, the jihad religious atheists materialists like Dawkins and friends. Deplorable.

 

To think about this issue responsibly, and scientifically (and rationally...), we have to delve deeply in the definition and meaning of "intelligence", of "design", and to probe deep in the issues of determinism vs randomness and the relation of these last two to causation (and to correlation, to coincidence, and to co-ocurrence). Almost no one is engaged in this debate in the right way. So, everybody is losing (especially society).

 

Just to cite four commonplace examples from biology: 1- the Kreb's cycle IS the result of intelligent design. 2- the glucose molecule IS the result of intelligent design. 3- the metabolism of lactose (in the E. Coli's lac operon's context) IS an example of intelligent design. 4- and the somatic hypermutation of human b-lymphocytes IS an example of intelligent design.

 

That is basic biology. No hocus pocus.

 

Best Wishes,

Julio

___________

 



Message 10:

On Ghosts and Afterlife Survival...

 

Sunday, April 29, 2007 8:20 AM

 

Just to highlight some issues of great relevance to this debate:

 

1- The existance and nature of spirits.

 

2- Their capability to survive bodily death (either being immortal, or only being alive for sometime after bodily death: decades, centuries, etc).

 

3- The nature of "survival." What is it to "survive bodily death"? What survives? How?  If survival is based on the continuity of something, what is this something that "continues"? And can we claim that we have survival BEFORE bodily death? How do we survive (i.e. "continue") BEFORE bodily death, and what is it that survive BEFORE bodily death?

 

4- What is consciousness? (that is, subjective experience, qualia, David Chalmers' "Hard Question", Stan Franklin's "Phenomenal Consciousness"). How does it survive (that is, "continue") BEFORE death (if it "continues"). And if materialism is indeed wrong, as philosopher David Chalmers claims, and if the best options are solipsism and brahmanism, what happens after bodily death?

 

Best Wishes,

Julio

___________

 



Message 11:

GTFH: For Whom the Bells Toll, or the crimes of atheists.

 

Saturday, May 5, 2007 7:06 AM

 

This is my last message analyzing Vic's GTFH.

 

Background: millions and millions and millions of people died, and much much more suffered miserably due to the driving force of atheism/materialism behind Stalinism, Maoism, Khmer Rouge, and comunism in Germany (1919-1933) and in Spain (Spanish Civil War). Atheism/materialism: so brief a lifetime thus far (after emerging from the ashes of corrupt Christianism, in the Nineteenth Century), and so huge a social debt already...

 

Vic's assertion: "Many people are good. But they are not good because of religion. They are good despite religion." (page 248).

Correction: Good and bad exist in everyone. And, many many people indeed became worse because of religion (I know countless examples). And, also, some people became better because of religion.

 

Vic's assertion: "Well, God is widely worshipped, and we do not have a better world because of it." (page 250).

Correction: How can we tell if the world is not better because of this worshipping since we do not have another world to compare? Maybe without the worshipping the world would be better. Maybe worse. Maybe it would be just the same. Who knows? What we can responsibly do is to try to correct the defects of all religions, atheism/materialism included.

 

Vic's assertion: "The Muslim suicide bomber has been led to believe that he is guaranteed paradise for his murderous action. On the other hand, the atheist has the confort of no fears for an afterlife and lacks any compulsion to blow himself up." (page 257).

Correction: Islamic terrorism is a complex social phenomenon. It is deplorable that a scientist, in a book about science and religion, deals with it so immaturely. And the "compulsion to blow himself up" may come in many different forms, even in half-disguise. Argueably, the basis of Islamic suicide attacks is altruism, which is one of the three driving forces behind human suicide. Examples of suicidal behaviour due to altruism abound among atheism/materialism-derived social practices. Only Vic won't see it.

 

Vic's assertion: "Nineteen Muslims would not have wreaked the havoc of September 11, 2001, destroying themselves along with three thousand others, had they not been believers." (page 248).

Correction: And they would also not have wreaked this "havoc" if the arab world was not treated like shit by the US and Europe. So, it is more convenient for cowards to blame religion than to fight the unfair political system of their own country... (USA, in this case). Why is it that the Germans came out of the post World War I so aggressive and beligerant, and after the post World War II they became so amenable to the rest of the ruling nations of the world? Why is it that the fierce Japanese wreaked real havoc in almost half of the globe (especially in China) and, after the post World War II, they became so amenable to the rest of the ruling nations of the world? What is the difference - in strength and stubbornness - between Germans, Japanese, and Arabs (Muslims) ? So, the roots for the difference in overt behaviour between these three "peoples" must not be sought in religion, but rather (argueably) in the way they have been treated by other peoples. The amount of people that die in countries of the Third World due to the economical and political dominance of the US is unimaginable. Far, far, far more than 3,000 people each year. And... who cares? By the way, this is not to demonize the US. This very same vice can be found and condemned in my own country, Brazil. We have devasted Paraguai more than a hundred years ago, and have exploited it ever since. Also, our relationship with Bolivia is far from "harmless." So, actually, I am not this time that much concerned about finding the "true causes" of the problem. I am, rather, very much concerned of taking the blame out of the shoulders of those whom this blame does not belong to...

 

Be it due to political cowardice or social ignorance, blaming Islam for things like September 11 is, too, a murderous action. Most likely, countless innocent Afghan Muslims are dying in Guantanamo right now, many committing suicide to flee from the sufferings they have been enduring. No virgins or paradise for these. Islamic teachings forbid suicide under these conditions. So the humble, innocent, father-of-a-family will die with no hope of going to Heaven. Also, one Brazilian died in London about two years ago just because he looked like an arab. The police officers who murdered him, most likely readers of Dawkins, thought like this: "Looks like an arab, so he is an arab. Arabs are Muslims. Muslims are suicidal terrorists, so says Dawkins. So, let's kill him right now and enjoy our Heaven here on Earth and our 72 virgins right now before death!" (that is: society praises those who kill for a "good cause" - prestige and virgins just pour in!).

 

Final Note: unfortunately it has been a disappointing experience to try to talk to the people of this forum. Last time I came here, in 2005, I had a better impression. But I was here just too briefly. You all do not seem to be bad guys. But I must say that most of you seem to be  - in regards to these issues of religion, parapsychology, and society, etc - much too emotionally immature (I know that some actually lack integrity, in regards to these issues. They may be, howeve, wonderful human beings in their family lives, citizenship, and academic careers). I can only depore that, for the bad effects of these handicaps will not fall upon me, but upon you yourselves rather. All I can do is to keep fighting against the stupid and harmful notion that "God has already been proved by science," and that "Spirits have already been proved by science," which is the role of my own skeptic site. It is deplorable and saddening to realize that much - perhaps most - of these unhealing sould-wounds, that you all carry so evidently, have been inflicted by either religion itself or by religious people. As I have said before, atheism/materialism is a bold and beautiful world view, and also it is a theory about the world that is very likely to be true. It is unacceptable that people with such immense value are so much offended by society.

 

Let's all hope that one day people will come to realize the obvious: that good and bad exist in everyone.

 

I finish this message with an extract from my review of GTFH on www.amazon.com:

 

"The virtues of materialism and of materialists are so remarkable that they were even recognized by the "Guiding Spirit" (Emmanuel) of Brazil's most prominent Medium (Chico Xavier), when he once said that 'These last years, the only souls to come to Heavenly Spheres are those of materialists, who do good things with no intentions of being rewarded afterwards.' "

 

Very Best Wishes,

Julio Siqueira

_________________

 



Message 12:

Dawkins Up Uranus...

 

Tuesday, May 15, 2007 2:52 PM

 

(this is to highlight a specific point of my last message)

 

Now, let me present some of the most enlightened gems from Dawkins...

 

Article: What is Wrong with the Paranormal?

- The paranormal is bunk. Those who try to sell it to us are fakes and charlatans, and some of them have grown rich and fat by taking us for a ride.

 

Article: Religion's Misguided Missiles.

- Our leaders have described the recent atrocity with the customary cliche: mindless cowardice. "Mindless" may be a suitable word for the vandalising of a telephone box. It is not helpful for understanding what hit New York on September 11. Those people were not mindless and they were certainly not cowards. On the contrary, they had sufficiently effective minds braced with an insane courage, and it would pay us mightily to understand where that courage came from. It came from religion. Religion is also, of course, the underlying source of the divisiveness in the Middle East which motivated the use of this deadly weapon in the first place. But that is another story and not my concern here. My concern here is with the weapon itself. To fill a world with religion, or religions of the Abrahamic kind, is like littering the streets with loaded guns. Do not be surprised if they are used.

 

And now... my favourite one. This is what he said when receiving the title "Humanist of Ur anus," that is, "Humanist of the Year."

 

Article: Is Science a Religion?

- Well, science is not religion and it doesn't just come down to faith. Although it has many of religion's virtues, it has none of its vices.

- Incidentally, there was a shocking program on the BBC radio around Christmas 1995 featuring an astronomer, a bishop, and a journalist who were sent off on an assignment to retrace the steps of the three wise men. Well, you could understand the participation of the bishop and the journalist (who happened to be a religious writer), but the astronomer was a supposedly respectable astronomy writer, and yet she went along with this! All along the route, she talked about the portents of when Saturn and Jupiter were in the ascendant up Uranus or whatever it was.

 

Up Uranus? Up Uranus? What the hell does he mean with "up Uranus"? Does he mean something like "up your anus" (meaning, the woman was bullshitting) or something like "up her..." (meaning, the woman had better stick this talk into such and such places...)? Is it really appropriate talk for such an occasion? (when receiving the title The Humanist of the Year of 1996, American Humanist Association). Is it cute talk? Is it crude? What is it? What would HE think and feel if I said this of his... mother? Time for some cultural guidance from you guys to me in this matter...

 

Best Wishes,

Julio

____________

 



Message 13:

Quantum Mechanics AND Consciousness - time for mature attitude, from all sides

 

Tuesday, July 17, 2007 3:49 PM

 

"Working these problems out realistically requires hard work.  Anchoring
physics on consciousness is the easy way out."

 

As a layman in physics, I systematically avoid such topics here. One exception was the physics issues raised by Vic in his "God, the Failed Hypothesis" (2007 -debunked), including his talk about information (to which I expessed basically puzzlement); also, I discussed some of the information stuff with you (Lawrence) precisely because of the very same reason that I discussed the physics contents of GTFH: the debate, on both occasions, left the strictly physics area and entred the public concerns domain.

 

Many times, what experts (like many of you here) say sounds very hard to understand by the laymen. And worse, often we understand things wrongly. Since a considerable amount of the Avoid-L efforts and goals seems to be directed to public concerns (attempting to fight pseudoscientific views, and the like), I suggest that you guys pay careful attention to how your message gets across to the public.

 

The quantum-consciousness issue is an important point. The impression that I get, in light of what I am reading these last days here (things like this experiment with decoherence of buckyballs, etc), is that, as it seems, quantum experiments are starting to do away with the "need for consciousness as a necessary component of the explanation." And I must add that this is good in many, many ways! But comments (and attitudes) like yours (Lawrence) - and many other people here have shown similar attitude (Zanelli and others) - seem to me rather counterproductive.

 

First of all, it looks like a strawman to depict the interpretation "consciousness is THE explanation" as an easy way out or as a credulity-based idea. It seems to me that the experiments of the past were less precise and less resourceful, and this might have in great part been responsible for this idea that the collapse of the wave function was something that consciousness, and only consciousness, could do (though, maybe, the more recent experiments of delayed choice and dc quantum eraser may have added to the mystery substantially...). Further, one big problem for human thinking has been to find where the hell consciousness fits in the physical description of the Universe. Thus, if consciousness had (or has) anything indeed to do with quantum mechanics, this might bring about a new revolution in science. Perhaps the greatest ever. And most likely it would be anything but "easy."

 

What, IMHO, is really *easy* is this habit (addiction...?) of throwing stones to our opponents without trying to understand each other clearly. This is religious zealot attitude. And as I have insistently pointed out, we have plenty of it around here...

 

Nevertheless, facts are facts, and will be facts. As far as I can see, Ross Rhodes description is simply incorrect, even in principle. We have all the right in the world to look for (in quantum mechanics) links with consciousness, ghosts, Santa Claus, The Big Foot, and whatever (even for the absence of dualism, of God, of Spirits, etc). But we must do so with faithful descriptions of what really go on. Metaphors need not destroy the actual things that they purport to represent.

 

I have before criticized Vic for his many pseudoscientific assertions. The same must be done towards anyone (Ross Rhodes included)

 

Best,

Julio

_____________

 



Message 14:

Unpoliteness: Avoid-Lers', Dawkins', Siqueira's, ... ... ...

 

Monday, September 24, 2007 6:00 AM

 

Former thread-title: Re: Can Science Study the Supernatural?

 

Hi Brent,

 

Your comments in red, mine in green.

 

He didn't direct it at her; it was mocking astrology. 

 

So he was directing it ("up Uranus") to her ideas (he couldn't be really mocking *astrology*, but rather *her comments* about astrology). I must say that I feel that as unnecessarily rude and impolite.

 

But whether it was polite or not, who cares? 

 

I cannot answer exactly, but sure I do care. As for who does not care, *you* seems to be a good answer, sadly enough...

 

You are often rude in your posts,

 

So instead of healing me from my rudeness, we are now supposed to use that as justification for Dawkins'. Humanity down the drain...

 

labeling people as cowards because they see no point in answering your rambling assertions,

 

Well, Sir, that is not true at all. I never did that. If I ever labelled someone as a coward (and it is pretty weird that *you* bring this up now, since you seemed to back up Vic Stenger's rude usage of this very same labelling against the author of the BottomLayer site; at least you did not criticize Stenger in any way that I can recall - If my memory serves me well, it was only *after* Stenger's use of this label that I started using it), it was in a drastically different situation. Quoting me out of context to try to make a strawman of me is a disservice to yourself. Go ahead if you so wish...

 

equating them with muslim terrorists because they haven't been sufficiently respectful of your views,

 

Again a strawman.

 

and in general criticising people instead of arguing ideas.

 

Well, you yourself know it is not true. I go deep indeed in the analysis of people's ideas.

 

I'm getting sick of your whining. 

 

Biologically, sickness is the alert due to a threat. It is up to your guts to ring the alert. It is up to your wits to decypher what the threat really is. The threat may be outside you or... inside. Look closer.

 

If you don't like it you're welcome to go elsewhere.

 

And allow you guys to spoil this little World of ours? No, thank you sir. I will stay :-) .

 

Now, a few words about unpoliteness, in the context of the subject of these messages: if I am here, and still, you (Brent) must be sure that it is for a very precise reason. And a fruitful one too. (and above all, one that is non personal/non self-centered). The reply from Yon was a hundred percent "satisfactory." That is, he sees that Dawkins sometimes may exaggerate a little (that is how I read Yon). That is all that is needed for improving "skepticism" and for improving activist atheism-materialism. In light of that (Yon's attitude), it is me who says: who cares? (whether Dawkins was offending the woman astronomer or ridiculing astrology). Mistakes and excesses are part of all human endeavours. If they are being watched, criticized, and healed, then it is perfectly ok. That is what I call for. That is Yon's attitude (the way I read it). But if they are not being watched, if they are not being analyzed, critized, and healed, we are *all* going down the drain (it is a small world, and getting smaller). And I must say that we do deserve to be... elsewhere. That is what *your* attitude, Brent, is NOT preventing us from. And that is the sole reason for my criticizing you *now*.

 

Best Wishes,

Julio Siqueira.

P.S.: many weeks ago I did contact the author of the BottomLayer site (after your exchange of messages with him). I made some criticism to him, and he replied to me honestly and straightforwardly. No signs of cowardice that I could detect. In fact, similar to what we had already seen from him. So, why did the "excesses" from Stenger (offending him) went uncritized by you then...? Please. Think about it.

__________________________

 


Message 15: 

The Avoid-L forum and the Paranormal: a brief summary

 

Tuesday, September 25, 2007 9:39 AM

 

[Please note that by "ESP" I mean Extrasensory Perception, and not Error Some Place :-) ]

 

Main objections of avoid-L members to parapsychology, and relevant comments to them:

 

1- p value for statistic significance is not defined before the experiment is run.

Comment: incorrect. This issue was brought up by Bill Jefferys. Contrary to what he says, psi research, like any other, when using statistics, has the p value for statistic significance defined beforehand.

 

2- Psi researchers do not try to increase the "signal/noise" ratio, i.e. they do not try to improve their experiments so that they could fish true data (meaning: a true new phenomenon) out of the garbage backgound (meaning random processes mostly).

Comment: incorrect. Despite serious experimental problems in many areas of psi research, some areas have made significant moves to address this issue raised (again) by Bill Jefferys. Topmost example is the Ganzfeld Protocol for ESP testing, devised in its present form by a joint mind-venture of psi researcher Charles Honorton and CSICOP skeptic Ray Hyman. The fruit one gathers from an improved signal/noise ratio is: replicability. Is ESP in the Ganzfeld replicable? Yes.

 

3- Psi researchers and "psi phenomena" do not stand up to the challenge of Bayesian statistics.

Comment: incorret too, but indeed problematic. To my knowledge, only one area of psi research faces up the challenge of Bayesian statistics properly: Ganzfeld. This became clear at the end of my debate here with Bill Jefferys/Brent Meeker, as I pointed out that the article that Meeker brought actually indicated the strength of this research program (Ganzfeld) in light of Bayesian analysis; and it also became clear as I brought statistician Jessica Utts' comments on the matter (which prompted Bill Jefferys to flee the debate, with "calling names" as an unexpected and dramatic extra).

 

4- All psi is fraud.

Comment: hardly so... Dean Radin has gone to great lengths to try to show that psi research is not more fraudulent than any other area of science. Actually, it seems to be less fraudulent. Obviously I am not talking about Uri Geller or John Edwards in natura (as opposed to in the lab). I am talking about psi researchers in the psi academic community. For example, I was told some years ago that Gary Schwartz was once heavily criticized by his own peers in a meeting of members of the Parapsychological Association. Similarly, Harrold and Puthoff's paper on ESP (using Uri Geller as subject, among others) received a lot of criticism from the psi research community (please refer to the editorial of Nature of the very same edition).

 

5- Psi experiments do not get published in respectable scientific journals.

Comment: incorrect. Journal of Consciousness Studies, The Lancet, British Medical Journal, Jama, Nature, all of them have published material on that.

 

 

So, concluding: What Attitude Must any Responsible Scientist Have Towards ESP-PK and Towards Psi Research?

 

The answer can only be: first, psi research does have areas that deserve high respectability. Second, some psi researchers, likewise, are highly deserving of respect and support. Third, it seems that there is something going on at least in the best areas of psi, that is, it seems that something interesting and real has been found. Namely, ESP in the Ganzfeld. Paradoxically, even I myself think that the scientific community should not (and need not...) declare ESP as already proved to exist (though I consider an acceptable scientific assertion if scientists in isolation declare that, for them, ESP has been satisfactorily demonstrated to exist). Actually, it is pointless now (IMO) to declare that ESP exists since we need to know much better what is it that happens in Ganzfeld. Even if it is truly a new mode of perception, it needs to be better understood, I think.

 

Skeptics' attitude and actions towards psi research should thus be:

1- Respect.

2- Informed/high quality criticism.

3- Fight to impede that putative psi findings be misused by believers of all persuasions.

 

Best Regards and Wishes,

Julio Siqueira

______________

 



Message 16: this title below is actually a teaser. I never thought Stenger truly disagrees with Sagan (in the technical issues about quantum mechanics). But there are issues that, when physicists try to explain them to laymen (like me), sound incoherent. This was an attempt to try to reach some further understanding (as a layman) on this tricky issue of physics. As expected, success was poorly reached.

Carl Sagan disagrees with Vic on the Supernatural...

 

Saturday, October 13, 2007 3:21 AM

 

-

Carl Sagan disagrees with Vic on the Supernatural... Ok, and so what? What conclusions can we draw from it? Here is the quote, and after it the inescapable conclusion.  

 

Carl Sagan, The Demon Haunted World, 1995, pg 304: Consider this claim: (...) Here's a third: Once in a very great while, your car will spontaneously ooze through the brick wall of your garage and be found the next morning on the street. They (the three claims Sagan presented) are all absurd! But the first is a statement of special relativity, and the other two are consequences of quantum mechanics (vacuum fluctuations and barrier tunneling, they are called). Like it or not, that's the way the world is.

 

Conclusion: the examples Vic cites as violations of the energy conservation law (ESP, PK, intercessory prayer, etc - those he flawedly presented in his new draft article now) are not truly violations, but only *possibly* violations. According to quantum physics (Sagan says), it is not impossible that a car will cross walls (in the healthy sense... :-) ), and I guess that would be just instantaneously (superluminously). Photons can do it, electrons can do it, buckyballs too, and cars and whole planets too. Or they cannot? Is it really impossible or merely improbable?

 

Like it or not, this is the way the world is, Vic. Or is it not?

 

Best Wishes,

Julio Siqueira

_______________

 



Message 17: another teaser title. And this kind of "disagreement" is not to be seen, by us laymen, as a weakness from any of the parties involved.

Now it is Brent Meeker vs Victor Stenger...

 

Tuesday, October 16, 2007 3:49 AM

 

I am still trying to read and digest the physics data preseted by you guys. So, sorry if I missed something. But, as far as I could get, Meeker was kind of supportive of the non-discreet Universe view, whereas others thought it differently. I found this little passage in Vic's welcome message in March this year:

 

"Avoid" refers to "Atoms and the Void," the ontological model

of reality in which only matter exists and, furthermore, is

localized and discrete.

 

See attached file.

Best,

Julio Siqueira

__________________



Message 18:

The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins et al, and similar "racists"

 

Wednesday, October 24, 2007 9:46 AM

 

Though most people here are rather addicted to (bogged down in) physics, the fact is that biology does teach us trueblue lessons about our daily experiences and possibilities. And, arguebly, one of the strongest lessons from biology is that our main enemies are, often, not outside us, but, rather, inside us. Often, organisms will perish not because of their foes' strengths, but because of their own feeble inner spots.

 

If this so called "secular society" does not prove to be better than the more ancient alternatives, most likely it will be part of the "evolutionary drift" that has ruled the comings and goings of one religion after the other (secularism being, then, merely one more religion). Carl Sagan wisely warned us that some religions thrived for millenia, before Christianity, just to die out, the very same way Christianity will most likely die out too. The key to longevity may be, imo, not so much the decreeing of who are to be our foes, but, instead, who and what is to be our friends (relatives).

 

Summing up: Dawkins, once again, proves to be a dangerous friend. And it was Bob Zannelli who called our attention to this fact (thank you again, Bob). James Watson made some crude, baseless remarks about black people. Dawkins added: these comments are not unethical. Well, arguebly, only a racist would claim that it is ethical to say that all scientific studies show that black people are less intelligent than non-black people (or white people). Here is how Dawkins was quoted by one fellow secularist of yours:

 

"What is ethically wrong is the hounding, by what can only be described as an illiberal and intolerant 'thought police', of one of the most distinguished scientists of our time, out of the Science Museum, and maybe even out of the laboratory that [he] has devoted much of his life to building up a world-class reputation,"

 

So this is the man some people here want to worship as their Moses... Go on then, guys. Just do not come back whining (as you often do) when the Red Sea falls onto you all.

 

Good Luck anyway...

Julio Siqueira

___________________

 



Message 19:

Atheism for Dummies

 

Sunday, October 28, 2007 3:26 PM

 

http://www.adherents.com/Religions_By_Adherents.html

 

For the purposes of this list, this grouping also includes more proactive or well-defined philosophies such as secular humanism, atheism, agnosticism, deism, pantheism, freethought, etc., most of which can be classified as religions in the sociological sense, albeit secular religions. A minority among atheists are quite fervent in their beliefs and actively endeavor to proselytize atheism.

 

 

Any further questions, Kerry and Meeker?

 

Best,

Julio

__________

 



Message 20:

Where is the Stench from the Avoid-L forum

 

Tuesday, October 30, 2007 1:17 PM

 

Since I have made statements about this forum in general, in my reply to Bill Jefferys, I will reproduce below the parts that may be of interest to all.

 

 

You are a perfect example of the problem I have complained about here to Brent Meeker recently (which promted his reply where he listed some objections that he himself has in regards to Dawkins, and that was a true counter example to my own objections - i.e. to my objections against this forum). I will be a hundred percent straightforward in this. There seems to be something stinking in this forum. A mix of cowardice, lack of honesty, together of course with academic blinding pride. I am just gauging the amount of it to assess if I can and should tolerate it further. If the average list member were so despicable as you, I would already have left.

 

Further examples of a troubling stand in debates is Lawrence's absence of the expected "I am deeply sorry for the unthinkable offenses that I unduly directed against you, Mr. Julio Siqueira" (but he is too emotionally imature to do that).  Also, the absence of Zannelli's/Meeker's expected reply "Yes, Julio, I understand now what you mean by Dawkins (at least indirectly) supporting racist ideas and by Watson having done something terribly unethical" (or instead they could say: "No, I do not agree with you, Julio, because of this, this, and this" or perhaps even "I Just Disagree with you, Julio"). This kind of absence in these debates clearly show me the lack of seriousness in these debaters. It doesn't matter if one of the debaters is Julio Siqueira, Jim Jones, Sai Baba, or Donald Duck. The *issue* is important and the debate cannot be left like that. People have to take commitments and declare openly their stands. Or, alternatively, people may stay aside the debate from the very beginning. But that is not what people like you (in the Dean Radin debate) have done, or like Meeker and Zannelli have done now (in this debate now about the lack of ethics from Watson). This is deplorable. Lawrence is also deplorable (actually beyond redemption, as it seems). He raised serious charges against Dean Radin and never bothered to even look at the evidence pro and con. Now he claims that this kind of thing that I call for and that I do (weighing the evidence pro and con) is an example of malfunctioning of my brain, and that he just cannot understand why someone will do this that I do. This that you guys are doing you pretend to believe that you consider as perfect examples of rationality. So rational as the KKK, I would say...

 

Unfortunately, however, William Jefferys (you no man), I can withstand stenching atmospheres for long long indeed. And I will stay for as long as necessary for clearly assessing things before I leave. One day I will write a report about this forum in my site, both in English and in Portuguese. The main reason for my being here now is to avoid being unfair. There is nothing special about you, about you guys, or about this forum, in this regard. This is the very same thing that I have done before regarding three Brazilian skeptic forums, and also regarding James Randi' Foundation Forum. You are not the ones who I took the least time to analyze. And you are not the ones I took the most time to analyze. You are just a hundred percent ordinary, as far as by now.

 

But just because you are quite ordinary, that is no reason for you also being stupid. So try and rid your fellow list members from this further flaw... if you still have the balls to do at least that (which I deeply doubt  ;-)  ).

 

I Say,

Julio Siqueira

____________________

 



Message 21:

Re: The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins etal,andsimilar"rac...

 

Wednesday, October 31, 2007 3:43 PM

 

Brent, my reply to this irresponsible post of yours is this:

 

http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_0_100.doc


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_0_100.pdf


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_101_200.doc


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_101_200.pdf


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_201_300.doc


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_201_300.pdf


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_301_400.doc


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_301_400.pdf


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_401_466.doc


http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_401_466.pdf

 

Note added on January 31, 2013: all the files above can downloaded now from this new link.


Just one more thing. This insistance of yours, always ready to mock and to play, and never ready to do what you should have done long ago (if need be to pressure that traitor that joined you in offending Dean Radin) completes my diagnosis of this forum. I have little to do here now (though I may remain here for months still ;-) ). But you do have a lot to do. At least now you got another guy to help you, if you can get sloth Lawrence to get his ass down to his duty.

 

Best Wishes,

Julio

________________


In the table below, the juvenile message from Meeker that prompted my reply above

Brent Meeker <meekerdb@DSLEXTREME.COM> wrote:

L. B. Crowell wrote:
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> *From:* Julio Siqueira
> *To:* AVOID-L@HAWAII.EDU
> *Sent:* Wednesday, October 31, 2007 7:14 AM
> *Subject:* Re: The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins
> etal,andsimilar"rac...
>
> Just one comment...
>
> it has been well established that Dean Radin made consistent errors
> (file draw effect) in his analysis
>
> Ok. Show where and by whom then...
>
> Best,
> Julio
> _____________________
>
> http://www.colorado.edu/philosophy/vstenger/Briefs/Meta.html
>
> http://skepdic.com/essays/radin.html

"He even suggests we employ remote viewer Joe McMoneagle to reveal future technological devices he "has sensed in his remote-viewing sessions" (100)."

Maybe we should hire him to tell us what experiment in the future confirms the existence of PSI. :-)

"On the other hand, infidelity and all forms of deception might die out, since nobody could deceive anyone about anything if we were all psychic."

It's obviously easy to think false stuff - so why not lie psychically. ;-)

Brent Meeker

>
> At the end of the day, Radin is saying something is so, when frankly
> in our more sober frame of mind we know they ain't so.
>
> Lawrence B. Crowell
>
> What can we know? What are we all? Poor silly half brained things
> peering out at the infinite, with the aspirations of angels and the
> instincts of beasts.
>
> Stark Munro, fictional character created by Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
>


 



Message 22: below is another reply to Meeker. My reply is in blue, and the previous message from Meeker is in black.

 

Re: The Secular Society and Its Main Enemies: Dawkins etal,andsimilar"rac...

 

Saturday, November 3, 2007 8:39 AM

 

Brent, this is the last drop. I will add some replies to your problematic reasoning below.

 

You are delusional. 

 

Or... alternatively, *you* decided to become dishonest in this issue. Let's see the sum up of these combined messages.

 

I have no duty to you or your theories. 

 

Only a delusional person would ever think that I have ever considered you to have any duty to my theories, or even to *me*. The problem has never been this. The problem has always been that you seem to have no duty to *yourself* and to *your own theories*! ... ; and this is so in matters where the repute and honesty of others are at stake...

 

I have
 looked at my past posts (I keep them all)

 

I keep them too.

 

.  Here's the post in which I
 suggested you just buy the book, from 3/31/07:

 

This will show who is "delusional"...

 

============================================================
Julio Siqueira wrote:
...
> *My Comment:* this above is what, as far as I could understand,
 almost shocked me, in light of what Bill Jefferys said (or was it Brent
 Meeker?). As it turns out, the source for this number used by Radin is just
 one book! Can I conclude that it is easier for avoid-l skeptics to
 call someone a liar than to check this one book for the accuracy of what
 Radin claims? This book by Pratt and Rhine has (I think) less than 500
 pages! (/Extra-Sensory Perception after Sixty Years. By J. B. Rhine, J.
 G. Pratt, C. E. Stuart, B. M. Smith, and J. A. Greenwood, New York,
 Henry Holt & Co., 1940. Pp. xiv, 463./).

I replied:

Interesting that data in a sixty year old book which is supposedly at
 the foundation of a whole field of research is not available in the
 public domain. 

 

Time to pay attention, Brent:

 

Why don't you just buy the book and tell the list exactly
 what these results are that Radin says imply odds of 1021 or 102000?

 

Who is delusional now? You are just acknowledging and reposting the very same thing that you said (obviously...), but trying (in the beginning of this new message now) to twist the interpretation of what you said in the past (as if it were possible). You told me to buy the book. I repeat: *you told me to buy the book*. Further, you told me to *present the data*. Do I have to repeat this last sentence again too? Hope not. What did *I* do? I bought the book (following your recommendation) and presented the data. What did *you* do? Then, nothing. Now, meaning-twisting. So telling, isn't it?

 

You should also remember that the question is not simply one of doing
 the statistics correctly.  There were many procedural problems with
 Rhine's experiments and as he responded to criticisms and tightened
 controls the effect steadily declined.  One wonders how Radin factored this
 into his odds.
===============================================================

Whether the data implied odds of 10^21 or 10^200

 

It is 10^2000

 

is really beside the
 point

 

I myself have said that a million times. You are just violating my copyrights in that ©.

 

since either value is extremely significant in the statistical
 sense.

The question is whether there is a file drawer effect and whether there
 are procedural problems. 

 

Another copyrights violation ©. We'd better go to Court... (i.e. you are just echoing my words from elsewhere).

 

Radin deflected the file-drawer question by
 ignoring the possibility that it might well be a biased selectivity.
  As an example of procedural problems, I pointed out that in some
 experiments the person recording the result was the same person "sending" the
 image.

 

Is there any hope in commenting on this one above? What you are saying is that *some* of the experiments in parapsychology had methodological problems. Again, copyrights violation from you ©. I myself have said trillions and trillions of times (10^2000...) that *most* parapsychological experiments have and had methodological problems.

 

Just because you think parapsychology is significant and important

 

I myself do not know if I think that, and I have said it to you more than once (though not trillions of times). What I do think is that even the very best results from psi research (Ganzfeld) may actually not prove ESP to exist. But to display psi researchers and their methodology as silly and non-improving, like moron-boy Lawrence and chicken/piss-proud Jefferys do, is to be either idiot or dishonest. And both are damaging.

 

 doesn't oblige anyone else to pay any attention to it.

 

Brent, please try and listen and understand, for the last time now: the only obligation that you have, if any, is to the things that *you yourself* say and *you yourself* advance as theories and the like. That is what I have always said in regards to you.

 

I never offered to
 analyze data for you.

 

Oh My! Why do you think we are not in Court already regarding this...? Precisely because, exactly as you say now, *you never indeed* offered to analyze data for me. (if you had, and ended up not doing so, I would sue you - or at least ask for the proper refund. I never really did). The problem has always been this, and only this: you asked me to buy the book (expensive) and to present the data (painstaking). I did this. Despite this, you kept and keep with your comments as if I had never done so. The data is available for you and for Mr. Piss Proud. Now, to keep saying the things you say in regards to Radin and to some psi research, you have the moral obligation to analyze the data. Easy stuff. Pure and simple. For you. Not for me. Well, actually I think that even *you* might be in trouble-zone trying to analyze that stuff. That is why I think Jefferys is vital in that, and as a consequence the fact that he chickened out of the debate renders him as a traitor, betraying *you*. But, honestly, I do not expect you to demand of him his moral duty, since you yourself are trying to get rid of yours...

 

 I get paid a lot for doing that. 

 

Yes, *get paid* for that. However, when it comes to raise troubling (and baseless) doubts regarding serious researchers' integrity, you seem to work *for free*... That might be skeptic/atheist-materialist/secular-humanist generosity (of the notorious Up-Uranus type, I guess...).

 

I consider
 meta-analysis of parapsychology "data" not worth my time. 

 

Me too.

 

If you think
 it's a fruitful research field, fine: You do the research.

 

Cannot. I try to analyze the result from others instead. And to present the information trustworthily. That is what honesty demands from us. And that is the only thing that I recommend...

 

Brent Meeker
P.S. Bill Jefferys can read stuff you write in other people's replies;
 he really has killfiled you.

 

True scientists must try, whenever possible, to think and speak in terms of "probabilities" (i.e. apply the proper frequency-modal words to their reasonings and statements). Jefferys killfiling me? I'd say, sincerely: 80 percent probability... Actually, the only reason why I think that there is a "20 percent probability" of his not having killfiled me is because he is so very dishonest that he could very well read my stuff (when he wishes to) and just never care to reply. If he was honest instead, he would just not put up with the arguments that I present, and would show up.

 

But look closer. Killfiling me or not, his questions to Lawrence were telling. Obviously he knew Lawrence was talking about me. Who else in this forum could have started a thread (or renamed it) calling Dawkins a racist? And whom else could Lawrence be directing his comments to? Definetely not to Watson, or to Dawkins, or to Bob. Jefferys wanted *Lawrence* to present the name *Julio* so that he (Jefferys) could advance some charges against me. Pretty obvious. Pretty coward. Pretty dishonest.

 

Brent, unfortunately, as you know very well, we just cannot always be a hundred percent candid. The world just is not like that. And, obviously, I have often not been a hundred percent candid here... Regarding Jefferys, I soon started to suspect that he had serious stinking spots in his honesty (integrity) as a critic of psi research. I first faced two problems when dealing with him, and I had to carefully get around them: 1- I was not talking about parapsychology, so I could not dedicate, at first, much time to arguing with him in psi matters (it was never my intention to talk about psi research here). 2- Being him who he is (as I soon came to know, by internet search), I felt it was worthy to lure him to the psi debate so that I could hear what he had to say, and I really mean to *lure*, because he seemed very unwilling to go again on this over-trodden trail. So, if you read my posts carefully, you will notice that I tried to keep him in a kind of "stand-by" state. I only presented the harder stuff against skeptics' arguments later, because I knew he might leave the debate if I presented them too early. So I managed to learn what he has to say against psi research. I have what I want from him. And, honestly, it is very very weak stuff. This is not proof for psi. This is proof against Jefferys. And actually I am not interested in Jefferys. I was looking for good arguments against psi research. And found none (none that I didn't know of). I myself can present far better arguments against psi research than he did.

 

As to the situation in this forum, Brent, I must say that it is deplorable. As I said, the last drop! Zannelli is always posting social-issues threads, and I highly support him in that. However, when it comes to acknowledging, or at least to pondering about, Dawkins-stimulated racism, he too (Zannelli) flees, seemingly in fear of having to critize the Moseses of Secular Humanism (i.e. politic corruption from him... from Bob!). That is depressing. Disappointing. Unbearable. I see now that Kid Lawrence decided to reply to the thread in this forum, and, as I told him already, I am not answering him. I have not killfiled him, and will never. But I will only answer him in my true (main) email: juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br). There, he will be received with all due respect. But it is there, not here, that I treat issues like his. The truths that I had to say regarding him are not to be posted to the public. He dared to mock and to question the soundness of my reasoning in the worst possible place (thread), where issues regarding racism (including Dawkins-stimulated racism; and now we can say too: Zannelli-stimulated racism) were at stake. Obviously I will not talk about race issues with a kid (no matter 20 years old or 40 or 60 or 80; I am talking about mind, not about body) who doen't have an inkling regarding race reality and its implications. About 20 percent of my best friends are black, 50 percent of the women I have deeply loved in my life are black, 80 percent of my loved-loving students are black (highly intelligent and loving kids), and some of my ancestors too (though my being kind of Jewish-Looking), not to mention...my Wife and Kids (son and daughter).

 

So, Mr. Kid Moron L. Crowell will has a lot of apologizing and learning to do (juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br) before he can look up to me and dare to talk again about my reasoning capabilities regarding race, and regarding races (black races, which, just by the way, are not only one... but very very many instead) that he most likely does not have any single individual of in his heart. And, just for the records: Lawrence never came up with a working definition for *information*. I, instead, always had one. My intention in asking him that was to match his (if he happened to had one, which he does not) against mine, so as to improve mine. Mine comes mostly from the very etymology of the word, and from its meaning-function in the systems that I understand: biological systems, social systems, and (to a certain extent) physical systems too. Information: in-formation. i.e. anything that triggers a formation (a change in the structure) of a system, especially if in a way in line with the system's normal "metabolism."

 

Thank you again, Brent, for the help you gave in some moments. I suggest that you get the 1940 book and do the statistics. I myself will do that, after I learn the statistics properly so as to perform this re-analysis. If I ever find Radin to be in error in that, I will fight against him in that, because, as I said, that is a very serious issue since he was answering to Nature's objections against his book. An error in that would be a very serious fraud from his part. Utterly unexcusable.

 

Be Well,
Julio Siqueira
(
juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br)
________________________________


Again, in the table below, the senile message from Meeker that prompted my reply above

Brent Meeker <meekerdb@DSLEXTREME.COM> wrote:

Julio Siqueira wrote:
> Brent, my reply to this irresponsible post of yours is this:
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_0_100.doc
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_0_100.pdf
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_101_200.doc
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_101_200.pdf
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_201_300.doc
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_201_300.pdf
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_301_400.doc
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_301_400.pdf
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_401_466.doc
>
> http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/rhine_1940_pg_401_466.pdf

Note added on January 31, 2013: all the files above can downloaded now from this new link.

> Just one more thing. This insistance of yours, always ready to mock and
> to play, and never ready to do what you should have done long ago (if
> need be to pressure that traitor that joined you in offending Dean
> Radin) completes my diagnosis of this forum. I have little to do here
> now (though I may remain here for months still *;-) *).

Don't let the door hit you on the way out.

>But you do have
> a lot to do. At least now you got another guy to help you, if you can
> get sloth Lawrence to get his ass down to his duty.
>
> Best Wishes,
> Julio

You are delusional. I have no duty to you or your theories. I have looked at my past posts (I keep them all). Here's the post in which I suggested you just buy the book, from 3/31/07:

============================================================
Julio Siqueira wrote:
...
> *My Comment:* this above is what, as far as I could understand, almost shocked me, in light of what Bill Jefferys said (or was it Brent Meeker?). As it turns out, the source for this number used by Radin is just one book! Can I conclude that it is easier for avoid-l skeptics to call someone a liar than to check this one book for the accuracy of what Radin claims? This book by Pratt and Rhine has (I think) less than 500 pages! (/Extra-Sensory Perception after Sixty Years. By J. B. Rhine, J. G. Pratt, C. E. Stuart, B. M. Smith, and J. A. Greenwood, New York, Henry Holt & Co., 1940. Pp. xiv, 463./).

I replied:

Interesting that data in a sixty year old book which is supposedly at the foundation of a whole field of research is not available in the public domain. Why don't you just buy the book and tell the list exactly what these results are that Radin says imply odds of 1021 or 102000?

You should also remember that the question is not simply one of doing the statistics correctly. There were many procedural problems with Rhine's experiments and as he responded to criticisms and tightened controls the effect steadily declined. One wonders how Radin factored this into his odds.
===============================================================

Whether the data implied odds of 10^21 or 10^200 is really beside the point since either value is extremely significant in the statistical sense.

The question is whether there is a file drawer effect and whether there are procedural problems. Radin deflected the file-drawer question by ignoring the possibility that it might well be a biased selectivity. As an example of procedural problems, I pointed out that in some experiments the person recording the result was the same person "sending" the image.

Just because you think parapsychology is significant and important doesn't oblige anyone else to pay any attention to it. I never offered to analyze data for you. I get paid a lot for doing that. I consider meta-analysis of parapsychology "data" not worth my time. If you think it's a fruitful research field, fine: You do the research.

Brent Meeker
P.S. Bill Jefferys can read stuff you write in other people's replies; he really has killfiled you.


 



Message 23:

Lawrence's Racism; and et al's...

 

Saturday, November 3, 2007 8:40 AM

 

As to the situation in this forum, Brent, I must say that it is deplorable. As I said, the last drop! Zannelli is always posting social-issues threads, and I highly support him in that. However, when it comes to acknowledging, or at least to pondering about, Dawkins-stimulated racism, he too (Zannelli) flees, seemingly in fear of having to critize the Moseses of Secular Humanism (i.e. politic corruption from him... from Bob!). That is depressing. Disappointing. Unbearable. I see now that Kid Lawrence decided to reply to the thread in this forum, and, as I told him already, I am not answering him. I have not killfiled him, and will never. But I will only answer him in my true (main) email: juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br). There, he will be received with all due respect. But it is there, not here, that I treat issues like his. The truths that I had to say regarding him are not to be posted to the public. He dared to mock and to question the soundness of my reasoning in the worst possible place (thread), where issues regarding racism (including Dawkins-stimulated racism; and now we can say too: Zannelli-stimulated racism) were at stake. Obviously I will not talk about race issues with a kid (no matter 20 years old or 40 or 60 or 80; I am talking about mind, not about body) who doen't have an inkling regarding race reality and its implications. About 20 percent of my best friends are black, 50 percent of the women I have deeply loved in my life are black, 80 percent of my loved-loving students are black (highly intelligent and loving kids), and some of my ancestors too (though my being kind of Jewish-Looking), not to mention...my Wife and Kids (son and daughter).

 

So, Mr. Kid Moron L. Crowell will has a lot of apologizing and learning to do (juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br) before he can look up to me and dare to talk again about my reasoning capabilities regarding race, and regarding races (black races, which, just by the way, are not only one... but very very many instead) that he most likely does not have any single individual of in his heart. And, just for the records: Lawrence never came up with a working definition for *information*. I, instead, always had one. My intention in asking him that was to match his (if he happened to had one, which he does not) against mine, so as to improve mine. Mine comes mostly from the very etymology of the word, and from its meaning-function in the systems that I understand: biological systems, social systems, and (to a certain extent) physical systems too. Information: in-formation. i.e. anything that triggers a formation (a change in the structure) of a system, especially if in a way in line with the system's normal "metabolism."

 

Thank you again, Brent, for the help you gave in some moments. I suggest that you get the 1940 book and do the statistics. I myself will do that, after I learn the statistics properly so as to perform this re-analysis. If I ever find Radin to be in error in that, I will fight against him in that, because, as I said, that is a very serious issue since he was answering to Nature's objections against his book. An error in that would be a very serious fraud from his part. Utterly unexcusable.

 

Be Well,
Julio Siqueira
(
juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br)
________________________________

 


Message 24:

 

Leaving Avoid L

 

Wednesday, December 5, 2007 7:51 AM

 

Leaving Avoid L

 

Hi Guys,

 

Good News if true #2. I have been on this Holy Land of materialists since March 15. Materialist Legend has it that those who remain here for one year, remain for good. So it is time to avoid L (i.e. avoid this legend).

 

I joined here solely to present the so very numerous flaws and mistakes in Vic's GTFH. Easy deal. While in this socially necessary devastating raid (Vic's book is an offense both to Science and to Religion), I was challenged regarding a topic that actually I did not want to talk about, parapsychology (basically I already knew that you guys don't know much about this topic). The challenger, named William Jefferys, despite his supposed very high credentials in the area (besides physics + statistics), ended up fleeing the debate like a chicken, forsaking (and, thus, betraying...) his peer Brent Meeker and rendering the latter powerless to fulfil his duty regarding the book he asked me to buy for him. (fiasco...).

 

Enters Keith Sewell. Bold and ernest Keith Sewell (Hi Keith!). He is the one that made me linger here for longer. He challenged some of my views and, contrary to PP-Jefferys, did not flee. He enabled me to explain better my position on some topics, especially the God issue. Later on, some other issues made me stay for even longer (to the despair of our good old man, Mr. Stenger, who does not like to be criticized). Strangely named Agki Strom (or something like this) almost made me stay even longer, by violating Stenger's decree (that no one must answer my posts - I myself had to beg Agki to abide to Stenger's Decree, which he further violated once more, but I, boldly, refrained from answering his reply so as to enable my leaving).

 

So now, at long last, it is time to leave your Holy Temple


 

 


 

Obviously I will make a report regarding the important issues, and flaws, about this forum. This will be online on December 24 this year, at the link below:

http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/avoid_avoidl.htm


Note added on January 31, 2013: the webpage above is not available anymore, out of courtesy for the avoid-L fellas  :-)


Major problems will be exposed. Like Vic's offense (so telling...) to BottomLayer guy (calling him a coward just because he did not want to join this forum, when actually Vic himself keeps fleeing any constructive debate regarding the socially destructive nature of his writings). Like Zannelli's-Meeker's-Dawkins'-Watson's pro racism actions and attitudes (already dealt with ad nauseum by me here). PP-Jefferys' inability to evaluate parapsychology in a non-strongly-emotional way. And, obviously, Meeker's inability to... read a few pages of a book that he asked someone to buy for him... (fiasco).

 

Virtues will be acknoledged. Go check it if you will.

 

Similarly, I urge you guys not to confuse me with my ideas or with the information that I have brought (though I know that, being so extremely emotional, as most of you here seem to be, it is very hard to separete the message from the messager). Whenever and wherever I have successfully spotted a flaw in you guys, the ones to benefit are you yourselves if you boldly face what I have presented to you. This is what Vic just won't do (therefore condemning himself to remain stuck in a self-created pigsty - His choice, his due...). And I am still open to accept Crowell's apologies, if sent to juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br until December 31. The wordings should be something like: "I am very sorry, Mr. Siqueira, for my excesses in disrespecting you and for my racist attitude. I promise I will try to grow and to make my emotions more mature. If needed, psychotherapy will be applied."

 

As a last contribution for the honest seekers of truth (which always lurk aroung...), I direct you to a good skeptic contribution to the NDE debate, featuring Keith Augustine, in the link below (Vol. 25 No. 4 Summer 2007, of the Jounal of Near Death Studies).

http://www.iands.org/pubs/jnds/jnds25.html

His contributions will also appear in some more two further issues of this journal.

 

Lastly (but not leastly...), please keep trying to prevent booze-brained Bush from nuking our little blue marble home. (our Brazilian president is just as bad... unfortunately).

 

I will send my leaving request on December 24 this year, so you will have a double gift for xmas (my leaving + my page exposing you guys).

 

Best Wishes,

Julio Siqueira

________________

 



 Message 25: this below is my message when returning to avoid-L, to dispell some libels that were being directed to me.

 
Coming Back to Dispell the Libels about me in Avoid-L

-------- Mensagem Original --------

Topic  

Re: Vandalism and WikiPedia - Julio Siqueira is Back...

Date  

Thu, 03 Jan 2008 12:36:46 -0300

From  

Julio Siqueira <juliocbsiqueira@terra.com.br>

to  

Atoms and the Void <AVOID-L@HAWAII.EDU>

 

Julio Siqueira said: Jefferys has supported racism and racist ideas on the internet. He has endorsed statements like black people are less intelligent than white people, and black people should not, in jobs, get promoted in certain situations where white people should.


And Julio is right...


Hi Friends,

I was forced to come back to avoid-L (after signing off on December 27) due to libelous statements from Bill Jefferys, that a friendly avoid-L member let me know of. These statements led at least two avoid-L forum members to draw wrong conclusions regarding my conduct. So, I am here to correct the factual, and ethical, mistakes of Jefferys. I will quote the relevant passages from the messengers (Jefferys-Kerry-Crowell), and append the appropriate comments. This is a very important issue that demand full attention from anyone who wants either to make any comment on it or to draw any conclusion from it. It involves the question of racism, that, as I said, Bill Jefferys has indeed endorsed on this list. So, let's get down to the facts.

Jefferys said (my comments will be preceded by ###:

Some of you will remember Julio Siqueira.

### Yes, everybody does remember. Julio, the guy who showed that Vic's GTFH is almost completely wrong.

He vandalized my WikiPedia page this morning,

### There is no such thing as YOUR wikipedia page, to begin with. Wikipedia is not anyone's backyard. Jefferys seem to think otherwise. How come? (I have a feeling that he managed to find a sysop there who agrees with him as to the backyard nature of the entry William Jefferys... Check it out further below).

attributing all sorts of odious racist remarks to me.

### Not all sorts of racists remarks. And, actually, none of them attributed to you. Unfortunately, Jefferys deviated from the truth here. What I said at wikipedia is: Jefferys has supported racism and racist ideas on the internet. He has endorsed statements like black people are less intelligent than white people, and black people should not, in jobs, get promoted in certain situations where white people should. I stand by my statement. Unfortunately, this applies to Brent Meeker and to Bob Zannelli as well.

I've reverted, and I have complained to the WikiPedia folks who will, I hope, do something about this libelous and cowardly edit by Mr. Siqueira.

### It was never anonymous, so it cannot be cowardly. Further, before saying this at the Wikipedia-William-Jefferys Entry (i.e. the entry with the identifying label William Jefferys; not the entry - even less so the page - that belongs to William Jefferys!), I had already said it here at avoid-L.

I would appreciate it if others could keep an eye on my page and revert any other similar attempts by Mr. Siqueira.

### Hiring the work of people for free... So typical of those who like to use their political power.

Kerry said:

Sorry to hear this.Not surprising, though, given JS's personality, alas.  It might be worthwhile alerting his ISP to his activities. 

### Kerry was led to wrong conclusions due to the misleading remarks from Jefferys. Now with the appropriate corrections, he will surely think differently. I informed the wikipedia guys fully regarding my ISP information.

Jefferys said:

Dear Friends, I think the problem is under control.

### He thought it wrong. The problem was not "under control." I edited it again, then.

I received email from the WikiPedia support folks, who promised to keep an eye on the page and take stronger measures if necessary (which could include revoking Julio's editorial privileges or protecting the page). So thanks, everyone who looked at the page, but I think you don't need to continue doing this, at least for the forseeable future.

### By "foreseeable future" he actually meant "few hours." The cataract operation wasn't quite successful, as it seems...

The current page is vandalism-free.  

### He himself (or peers) decided to engage in vandalism afterwards. More on it below...

Crowell:

J. Siqueira always struck me as being some sort of manic obsessed crank.  He left this list, or so he said he was, and wrote a rambling swan-song screed about how he had been eggregiously wronged and demanded appologies. Now he carries his little angry tirade onwards like an child in a tantrum who can't stop beating the floor with their fists.  There is a word for people like this --- losers. 

### Hi Crowell, how are you doing? Missed you so much... Take a look at the link below:
http://paginas.terra.com.br/educacao/criticandokardec/avoid_avoidl.htm

Note added on January 31, 2013: the webpage above is not available anymore, out of courtesy for the avoid-L fellas  :-)

### You are now famous, at long last. (winner ;-) ). Lawrence, maybe I am a looser indeed. But the fact is that racism is no subject for ridiculing and putting down others. As I explain in the link just above, that is precisely what both Jefferys and you did. Next time, choose better the time and place (and topic) for ridiculing those who you do not like, and then you will see that I can indeed be a good loser. But by unthinkably mocking the racism-issue, you ended up dragging Jefferys to the abyss of racism-endorsing at that time. And now you want to apple-polish him. Too late.

Jefferys said:

Julio is back at it again, vandalizing not only my Wiki page but also its associated talk page.

### Could anyone please explain to Jefferys that wikipedia is not his backyard, and that talkpages are meant for talking? What he called "vandalism of his talkpage" was the moment when I explained my position and even acknowledged his virtues. Why so much arrogance and emotional irrationality?


I've requested the Wiki administrators that more effective action be taken. I wouldn't be averse to others keeping an eye on the page until this happens.

### Again, using his prestige to hire others for free. So typical. And so repulsive.

Jefferys said: 

All: The WikiPedia administrator has now protected my Wiki page against further vandalism. Bill

### Jefferys decided, in the not-so-long-ago past, to ridicule completely the racism issue here (I repeat: to ridicule completely). He did this together with Lawrence Crowell. It is fully documented here. Mock Julio, mock even Julio's family, and you WILL NEVER be exposed at wikipedia (or at any other similar place). But mock the racism issue in a public place (avoid-L), and the only ethical thing to do is to get exposed. Now, we have the question of what wikipedia accepts as source for this kind of problem. If avoid-L cannot be accepted as a source, then I will not be able to have this on wikipedia. I am carefully reading wikipedia guidelines for this. This is what we have for the... past. And what about for the present and future?

### As I said a little before I left avoid-L, Brent Meeker, Bob Zannelli, Lawrence Crowell, and William Jefferys have endorsed the views of Richard Dawkins (protecting Watson). In doing so, they ended up endorsing racism. This doesn't mean that they are racists. But the neat result (weighing this incident alone) is just the same. Had Martin Luther taken the same position, he too would have, in this instance, endorsed racism. What is the way out? To declare, clearly, that Dawkins' remark was incorrect. To state, clearly, that Watson was ethically wrong in what he said. (no one need to say that Julio Siqueira was right; this will spare Jefferys pride). Now, it seems that Jefferys kind of said something along these lines at the talkpage of the William Jefferys entry now. Unfortunately however, an new apple polisher that he managed to recruit has removed what Jefferys said. This guy, that happens to be a sysop at wikipedia (administrator), vandalized the talkpage. Obviously until I can get to see what Jefferys said (and I am not going to look it up in the wrong place, but only at the very talkpage instead), I can come to no conclusion regarding this.

Since I have now decided to be a full time editor of the Wikipedia entry "William Jefferys," (ticket for end-of-the-year barbecue on the hills of Vermont included...), I will have to keep on and on and on and on pushing this issue further and further. I already have plans for improving our William Jefferys entry, including a brand new section detailing his involvement with the paranormal (I promise to leave out the information that he said Dean Radin is a bullshitter). I will let all know beforehand of my contributions, at least 24 hours before posting them there, and I will use our avoid-L list and the talk page of our entry (William Jefferys) for that. I will also let FCYTravis know beforehand. Below I include the email that I sent to FCYTravis know, regarding this new fiasco. I wonder why is he protecting Jefferys so much? Dean Radin wasn't even allowed to edit the Dean Radin entry at wikipedia. Jefferys not only created the entry, but has all sort of protection there. Well, I think to myself... What a Wonderful World!

Dear FCYTravis,

Why did YOU censor the talk page on the entry William Jefferys? I came to you directly in good faith trusting your unbiased stand on this issue, and you act like a non-trustable member of the wikipedia community. I am sorry to say this, and I am utterly shocked too, but YOU have now vandalized the talkpage on the William Jefferys entry. And more, and much much worse, you prevented constructive discussion that seemed to be starting on the issue. This is my last attempt to draw any trustability from you. If you yourself do not revert what you did at the talkpage, I will have to start a case against you at the wikipedia board of admnistrators (or similar "institution"). I also kindly request that you unblock the entry (William Jefferys). There is no reason whatsoever to keep it blocked. Please ponder these issues with the seriousness and with the responsablity that they demand.


Best Wishes,
Julio CB Siqueira
(former Julio Siqueira)

____________


Message 26: this below is the one where I left avoid-L for good.


Leaving Avoid-L

February 26, 2009

I have decided not to stay "forever," and to leave the avoid-L forum for good now. What I found in this forum was a mixture of brilliance and irrelevance, courage and cowardice, constructiveness and pettiness. All this so very typical of people. And so very present in me too...  My comments about the bizarre events sorrounding my stay here will continue in my website. May it be that you all manage to live up to your social and public duties, both in the science path and in the "skeptic movement" path.

Best,
Julio Siqueira
______________